Monday, October 19, 2020

The US Census – Who Shall Be Counted?

 

The decennial census is one of the oldest and most accepted duties of our government. Starting in 1790, the entire population of the country has been engaged in a census or actual counting of the real population every ten years.  And, as is noted in the constitution, it then presents the numbers for representational apportionment – or actual members of the House of Representatives who shall represent any given district. Federal funding for each region and local governments are also tabulated from the final census numbers. Currently about 900 Billion dollars is budgeted annually for these allocations. The Administration has wanted the count to end early so that it could be reported to the president by December 31st some say, when he would be certain to still be able to manipulate the numbers.

(Article I, Section 2, Clause 3: Enumeration clause US Constitution

The actual Enumeration shall be made within three Years after the first Meeting of the Congress of the United States, and within every subsequent Term of ten Years, in such Manner as they shall by Law direct.)

For 230 years the count has been conducted without interruption. This year there was more controversary as the administration early on tried to add a citizenship question to the census. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross was confronted by Democrats on the House Oversight Committee in 2019 concerning lying to Congress about the need for a Citizenship question. He had indicated that the question was added as requested by the Department of Justice in order to correctly enforce the 1965 Voting Rights Act. It actually turned out that was not the case and the impetus for the question had come from the Commerce Department as requested by others in government, (possibly White House staff) – documents which might have clarified this were withheld from the Committee. The Census Bureau, in protest, had indicated that the addition of such a question would result in a significant undercount of about 9 million people or around 8 %.

After litigation which went to the Supreme Court with a 5-4 decision written by Chief Justice Roberts, it was decided that the actions by the Commerce Secretary violated the Constitution. The facts as produced, also did not fit the case presented by the Administration, leading some to think it could have been appealed again with better arguments.  However, there were time constraints involving the time line for printing of the forms, so the alternative arguments were never submitted. (It is quite possible, that a better argument might have resulted in a different outcome -scary thought!) The Brennan Center for Justice discussed the case and indicated that careful oversight must be continued as other threats against this count remain, including loss of privacy, issues with cybersecurity and eventual misuses of the protected data. The very suggestion about the citizenship question led many, even legal immigrants, to indicate that they felt that it was not safe to fill out the form. The fact that most residents were encouraged to complete the census online also brought the digital divide into question as many who are undocumented or who are poor or elderly are not computer savvy. Personally, I did not fill out the form immediately after I received it; subsequently I received several reminders, I assume that this was the usual follow-up as experienced by most people.

The latest actions had the Commerce Department trying to end the Census early – these moves were stayed by a lower court but the Administration appealed to the Supreme Court for an emergency override which was upheld. Technically, there are still other cases about the census to be decided, but this is like turning a battleship around, these cannot be resolved easily or quickly, so most likely each will be done in by the calendar. These moves against a constitutionally mandated process seems to have created a rift in the relationship between a government and its people and may be one which will take a generation to repair.

Most recently, the president has asked the Court to decide on his plan to remove undocumented persons from the census count – he wanted the Census to carry a dual track of numbers and use an estimate to determine the numbers of unauthorized immigrants and remove them. This was denied by a Federal District Court in September. According to the New York Times – Excluding noncitizens from reapportionment totals has long been a cause among many Republicans, who traditionally have been seen as the political winners under such a change. Many non-citizens have a legal right to be in this country and contribute to society as do thousands of undocumented residents. The Administration also appealed this decision to the Supreme Court which has said it will hear the case on November 30th. Some have said that the Court often defers to bureaucracies on issues of process, so it is uncertain how this decision may come down. Assuming that Judge Amy Comey Barrett will be seated by then (unfortunately) she may also get to weigh in on this issue. (I have not chosen to discuss the hearings on her nomination as little was revealed during the several days of the hearings and she was steadfast in refusing to answer most questions.)

My thoughts on these actions by the Commerce Department (which is in charge of the Census Bureau) are that this was another attempt at assaulting urban America; you know – those cities which are often Democrat enclaves with progressives in charge and give homes to many immigrants and undocumented residents. Some of these cities are sanctuary cities and will not support Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) on their raids. Other urban centers subsequently were deemed unlawful and Federal paramilitary forces were put in place with deleterious results, such as in Portland. Several cities have been under verbal attacks by this administration for urban violence since the Black Lives Matter demonstrations happened earlier this year and the president threatened to put federal forces in place to maintain order, despite mostly peaceful protests.

The calls for “Law and Order” and complaints about lawless cities are essentially stock campaign fodder for the president.  He continues to pretend he is unaware of lawless groups such as Proud Boys, Boogaloo and the right-wing militias who hatched a plot to kidnap the Governor of Michigan; he said in Michigan on Saturday that she should be locked up for not opening up her state and led his crowd in chanting “lock her up”! Where is the law and order here? At least the FBI and State Police are doing their jobs and not listening to such nonsense.

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COVID news: The news has not been good this week as counts have been between 50 -60,000 each day this week with virtually the entire nation showing increases. (Map is shown in stats link below.)  According to an article in the Washington Post, the annual Sturgis motorcycle meeting in South Dakota has been found to be a super-spreader event, much as health authorities warned that it might be. Almost half a million persons attended the rally and then returned home to several midwestern states and elsewhere. For example, South Dakota alone had 84 cases reported just before the mid-August rally and 434 cases reported the first week in October. (Obviously not all of these are due to Sturgis; however, SD does not have a mandatory mask order in effect.)

Latest COVID -19 Stats from the New York Times as of Sunday 10/18/20:

Total US Cases: 8,188,700. New cases: 52,774.  Total deaths: 219,500.  Total new deaths: 679.

These numbers are a 28% increase from 2 weeks ago.

Maryland - Total cases: 135,127.  Total new cases 798.  Total deaths: 4,036.  Total new deaths 4.

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According to news reports on NPR more than 26 million Americans have already voted in early voting for the November 3rd election.  That is approximately 20% of the total number who voted in 2016, the last Presidential year. (138 million people voted in 2016, about 58.1% of the number of eligible voters.) As expected, more Democrats and elderly voters, as well as African American voters, are among these early totals, so this is not an accurate picture of the final results.  Republicans, following the lead of the president, generally plan to vote on election day. There have been some glitches across the country and long lines in many states when early voting started. Polling places have changed and practices or machines may be different – all of which can restrict or delay voting, but to my knowledge there have been no wide-spread instances of problems. Some are still concerned that the militias encouraged by the president might still show up for intimidation on election day or for ballot counts.

In conclusion - As a sad aside, the Post reported that an elderly man nearing death so wanted to vote for Biden, that his family made sure he could get an absentee ballot as soon as they were available. And, on the first day ballots were accepted in Michigan, he personally placed his ballot in a county drop box. He died a few days later; however, his family later learned his ballot will not count as Michigan ballots are counted on election day and not before and one must be alive on that day to have a vote counted. Somehow this just seems so wrong.

If you have not yet voted – please make a plan to vote and vote early if you can. 15 days to go!

‘Til next week – Peace.

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